Aielyn said:
You forget about the technophiles. Other than internet gaming community members, technophiles are the most likely to preorder games more than four months before release, and are much more likely to buy new hardware at or near launch. You also forget that this is the first of the next generation of consoles, and thus people are more likely to "upgrade" in general, just as many people "upgraded" from PS2 to one of the current-gen consoles. Otherwise, you'd find that the vast majority of regular people would never buy new consoles, they'd just keep the ones they had - and the industry wouldn't challenge that, because of a massive portion of the market (regular people are the vast majority of the install base) wanting new games and not willing to upgrade unless absolutely necessary. Fortunately, most people do want to upgrade every once in a while. And I think you'd be surprised at how many people out there would want to play CoD with Wiimote controls, but didn't want to miss out on content and graphical quality for it (meaning, not willing to get the Wii versions, lacking in both content and graphics, but more than willing to look at Wii U). Wiimote controls for FPS are so much more intuitive than dual analog. |
you keep jumping to different groups, who are technophiles are you talking about the people who care about OMG graphics?? Cause if you are, the COD series doesnt really push those types of visuals anyone, they are not taxing graphically(sans Wii and DS) and even then they have something called PC which can produce anything better looking than anything the consoles can put out including WIi U. NOt to mention the fact it also has a control scheme that is better than the dual analog sticks, but still sold way less than its PS360 brethren. Or are you reffering to the people who have to have every new damn thing that come out, yeah i can see that but than doesnt mean they will get COD or even most of the launch games.
I dont even know where you're going with your 2nd paragraph. BUt if you look at the past releases, the difference between PS2 releasing, PS1 and SNES etc. is those systems launched with ORIGINAL games. Wii U is launching with at least half of its library consisting of games that have been released for months already or on consoles that have been available for years. Its funny you use the word "necessary", thats the point it isnt necessary to buy a Wii U to play the newest COD.
But lets get down to brass tacks, you keep using "people" who are these people? How much of them are they? What will the sales be like? If Wii U is a hit then I predict 2mil lifetime, if its ok 1mil.







