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To be honest i sorta agree with you, but i think its gonna come down to halos marketing and the amount of hype they can build up between now and november.
Cod is still gonna sell out but with AC3 and halo 4 coming out back to back before COD is gonna make a lot of younger people budgets tight to be able to afford all 3 and if they are only interested in Halo or CoD , theyre gonna have to choose between the 2 and what they think their friends are gonna be playing the most.
If microsoft can market halo a lot and put out great trailers and advertisements i believe its possible cod's sales are gonna take a hit because of it.
l