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Wii will win. They will have the largest market share in each region. They will completely dominate Japan with 75% or better. NA will be closer for a while since MS has a big lead, but eventually the Wii will take the lead, same with Europe. As for $$ wise, Nintendo will blow the competition away. Sony and MS are losing tons of $$ while Nintendo is very profitable and with their increased market share will be able to push much more software. Nintendo may be able to take the top publisher position from EA as well, we'll see.