Hmm. I understand the question, but for me it would simply boil down to: Do I own the system it's moving to? Followed by: Do I want to own the system it's moving to?
To use your Monster Hunter example, when I get a next-generation handheld it will be the Vita, because it already has more games I want to play than the 3DS. If I were a Monster Hunter fan, I would have no problem playing that game on the 3DS, but one game series alone wouldn't make me switch consoles - it would have to be a combination of multiple things.
Bad example, but there's a few games exclusive to 360 that I've played prequels/sequels of and would like to play the others (Halo, Banjo-Kazooie and Dead Rising are the three that spring to mind). But I can't justify spending £170 to play these few games. I don't have £170 to spend on a console to play them!
So yeah, I guess in the end it just boils down to convinence. If a series I loved hopped off Sony/Nintendo home consoles to Microsoft, I probably wouldn't have the money to follow it so would end up just letting it go and moving onto other things. And I suppose that's how all these people are feeling about Monster Hunter at the moment.
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