baka on 25 February 2007
Well, the U.S. Census bureau states that there are a bit over 100m households in the US in 2007, as per the following paper (PDF format): http://www.census.gov/prod/1/pop/p25-1129.pdf
DIAR said:It said it would be 30% in the USA and 33% in Japan, and the US claim I more than prove false
It's not that difficult to imagine a console hitting 33m households, especially one such as the Wii which has a broader appeal than traditional consoles. I suspect the baby boomer generation will have a large hand in these sales for reasons I have stated previously. The 360 already has about 5m in sales in the US, it would need to sell a bit more than 6x what it has already to sell that many consoles. This is a very real possibility over a five year period for the 360, given sales spikes for particularly popular titles and typical sales continuing at the current levels.
the Wii got outsold in November and December and even with it's January numbers is still behind the 360.
The Wii has been out for 3 months, the 360 for more than a year. Also, we do not yet have enough information to know whether the Wii's current sales are indicative of a trend. However, we do know that the Wii outnumbered the 360's sales significantly in January despite being sold out most of the time. It also sold out in November and December, against similar supply shortages. We know that the console continues to sell out in stores as of today, February 25th, which tells us that there is still higher demand than supply over 3 months after the console's release. We further know that Nintendo's efforts to ramp up Wii production should be hitting stores within the next month or so.
This is all anecdotal evidence, however it would seem to indicate that there's a very real possibility that the Wii will continue to outsell the 360. Nothing is certain at this time, so neither side's argument will hold much water until we have a few months more data for Wii sales behind us.
