| superchunk said:
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Factor in the appeal of Vita to a different market than the DS. A large part of the DS userbase -- possibly a majority -- has no interest in gritty shooters. The Vita is being sold as a console for gamers who love them some gritty shooters.
For comparison's sake, the best-selling DS Call of Duty game had an attach rate of about 1.6% in NA. The PSP Call of Duty game had an attach rate of about 2.4% in NA. (Both of those games actually had quite decent legs in the US to boot.) The best-selling PS3 Call of Duty game has an attach rate of about 23.6% in the US. If you split the difference, maybe figure the game will have an attach rate on Vita around 10%, Declassified could definitely make it over 500k or even 1 mil in the long run.
Of course, part of your prediction is that the game will appeal more or less as much to Vita owners as it did to PSP owners, which is fine. But I believe its appeal will be more in line with PS3/360 owners. We'll see how it does soon.








