I'm fairly confident that the PS4 is gonna launch with - or at least have very close to launch - Killzone 4 and Gran Turismo 6. One of them a huge IP, the other a relatively big IP. Gran Turismo will help to shift consoles, Killzone will see biggest ever sales thanks to being a launch title. And that's exactly what the PS4 needs that the PS3 didn't have.
Then there's the other stuff you get into, I'm not sure how much any of it is going to be true - but I would love to see new IP's from Media Molecule, Evolution Studios & Sony Santa Monica.
There's two things I really, really want to see with the PS4 though. The first is - as you mentioned in your OP - another exclusivity deal with Insomniac. Like you say, they have two teams - one of them can be free to pursue their EA deal with Overstrike, but the second team could potentially be the Ratchet and Clank devs for the next generation? I'd love to see that.
The second thing I want to see though, is Sanzaru games continuing with the Sly Cooper IP. I think it's turning out really, really well so far, and I definitely think it's an IP worth saving.
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