| vlad321 said: I feel liek I have seen similar statistics before, in a galaxy far far away, back in the 80s. Involving Apple as well, if i remember correctly.... |
No, you didn't. I remember the Win/Mac OS wars as well. It was always clear who was going to win that and why. The situation here is drastically different. Android doesn't have the developer support. They don't have enterprise support (and THAT is what really pushed Windows into homes... use at work, buy for home). They have no real price advantage (as of this October, most major carriers will carry an iPhone at every major price point).
Android has advantages in hardware diversity. After that, their advantages are pretty marginal. This isn't going to be a lopsided Windows/Macintosh situation. Almost every aspect of the situation is different once you ignore that a company named "Apple" was/is involved in both scenarios.
I really hate this analogy because it's so freakin' lazy. In the PC market, businesses were widespread adopters of computers before the consumer market started buying the machines for home use. Businesses bought IBM-compatible machines because they were, unlike Apple, cheap. Businesses like cheap. Businesses also liked the open nature of Windows so they could write any app they needed for the machine. It also helped that Microsoft was providing a solid baseline of business-related apps that only ran on Windows. It made the choice a no-brainer. The machines were cheap, customizable, and MS was providing a solid set of tools in which to do your business. After MS entrenched themselves in the business market, people started buying the same machines they used at work for home use. Why? They knew how they worked and they were cheap.
The phone market is nearly opposite that. Businesses did not adopt smartphone en masses before the consumer market. They were neck-and-neck from the start and the only "enterprise" solution on the market, Blackberry, is now swirling down the drain. Right now, studies show that more enterprise businesses are considering an iOS product for their employees than Android. The Android app market is lagging behind iOS. Phones don't need to be as "customizable" as their PC brethren. They don't do as much and aren't needed for as many varied tasks. No matter how you look at it, this isn't the same market.
Again, it's just a lazy analogy.

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