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PlayStation 3 1st Year 2nd Year 3rd Year 4th Year 5th Year 6th Year Total
Japan 1.29 1.9 1.7 1.3 1 0.7 7.89
North America 2.34 3.6 4.2 3.7 2.6 1.3 17.74
Other 4.44 5.6 5.4 4.6 3.4 2.1 25.54
Total 8.07 11.1 11.3 9.6 7 4.1 51.17

There are my predicted sell rates for each region, using adjusted % increases/decreases from the PS2.

Things to note:

  • Japan stays very steady, yearly sales wise. Even for the PS2, the increase/decreases were very small, if any
  • After the 3rd year, console sales decline.
  • I've made the increases MUCH bigger and the decreases slightly bigger in Japan (compared to the PS2s)
  • I've made the increases bigger and the decreases slightly smaller in Europe (compared to the PS2s)
  • I've made the increases slightly smaller and the decreases slightly bigger in NA (compared to the PS2s)
  • All in all, I've been very generous, in all reality the drops after the 3rd year should be much larger, especially since by that time the Wii should have 2x the userbase, and 50% of the market. 50 million is high. I'd say that 40 million is just about right, things considered thus far into the generation.
  • Also, first total sales are given, except for "others" which is estimated @ 80,000 * 7 weeks or something like that.
Edit: Fixed a few wording issues.