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Hibern81 said:

     I think everyone is missing something very important here, and that is everyone owns a Nintendo to play first party exclusives.  If Nintendo does everything right with the Wii U (which so far it sounds like they are) and third party titles become a constant fixture on the system, Nintendo has pretty much cut out the middle men (Sony and Microsoft).  There are just not enough first party games on the other systems that I would consider must owns to constitute buying a second system in the next generation.  I see Nintendo running away with the next gneration, or at worst coming in a strong second.


That strategy didn't really work out for the gamecube though, did it? (Although the gamecube had a whole heap of problems of its own).

Also, I'm not sure how true that second part is either.  Depends who you are I guess.  For example, I've grown slightly tired of Nintendo first-party franchises because they don't change very much between installments (best example of this: Animal Crossing).  They'll show flashes of brilliance here and there (Metroid Prime, Super Mario Galaxy) and that's great, but it's not enough for me to invest in a console.

To clarify - I'm not saying that Nintendo first-party franchises aren't strong - of course they are, they're the best in the business.  But more and more people, especially among people I know (although this is just colloqial), have no interest in playing slightly tweaked versions of 20 year old formulas.

By comparison, I think especially Sony - but to some degree Microsoft - have been better at providing new IP's with first-party franchises, and that's what I buy into a lot more.  Sony is pretty self-explanatory, but Microsoft too did very well at the start of this generation with providing console exclusives.  I guess we'll have to see what the next gen holds.