MS win next gen? sure, i can believe that. MS (or anyone for that matter) take at least a 50% market share. doubtful.
I think MS and sony will be pretty neck and neck again. nintendo is a wild card for me. i want to say they'll lag 'cause the wii U tablet doesn't seem to be impressing anyone but who knows ... maybe it will work for them. i'm not sure how a tablet is new or unique but maybe nintendo can do something those millions of other indie devs haven't thought of.