HappySqurriel on 25 February 2007
EagleHD said:
I'll admit the Wii is a bit of a dark horse and could do extremly well this generation. But I'm gonna stick to my guns on this one. Wii will be the first to 40 milliion WW probably as early as late 2008, however after that PS3/360 will by realitivly cheap for the bang HD offers and sales will start to pick-up from the casual gamer market which the Wii and PS2 are enjoying now. I think Late 2008 and 2009 will be the year for the PS3 and to a lesser extent the 360(more late 2007). HD TV's will be more the norm( you can't really even buy a SDTV in most shops here in England any more) and people will want to enjoy HD content on there TV.
The bad thing for the 360 is Japan
The bad thing for the PS3 is if the 360 hits critical mass in the West then in may not get any worthy 3rd party exclusives.
The bad thing for the Wii is its lasting appeal. I don't see much on the horizon. Wii sports is selling the system at the moment.
The good thing for all three systems is that the market is big enough for all three. They should all make it 40 million minimum but at this piont I don't see a walk away winner like the PS2. To pick one I would have to go with the PS3 because it has the most potential in the long run to appeal to all the major markets when the price comes down of course!
Just as a question, if the Wii sells dramtically faster than the other systems (and ends up outselling the other systems) why would developers spend the extra money needed to produce an exclusive game for the XBox 360 or PS3?
This is (essentially) what happened last generation with the PS2; it sold a lot of systems really early, which secured (most) third party exclusives and ensured ports of most other third party games, the XBox and Gamecube performed worse and rarely had games produced that took advantage of their extra processing power.
