The X360 won't hit 1m by EOY 2008.
Best case scenario would put the X360 @ 300k for the year. More realilistically it'll do less - I figure 250k.
Tracking against last year, the X360 is doing pretty bad - it's about 10-15% ahead of 2006, but well behind 2007.
However, the huge advantage is a MUCH better March through September:
Ninja Gaiden 2
Infinite Undiscovery
Last Remnant
For the major mid-year titles. This is huge compared with Oblivon and Trusty Bell, since Tecmo has seemed to do very well on the X360. Not only this, but if GTAIV does indeed cause a price drop for the West - we could see NG2 cause a price drop in Japan. It could wind up allowing the X360 to hit 10k-15k that week, or more.
The X360 can, and will drop below 4k this year. The big question is how low - last year, it managed to stay just above 2,000 units on any given week. Could it be lower? higher?
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
