ALL marioboys bought SMG and Wii? Or speculations made on SMG and SMS sales

[CrazzyMan]

@valen200,

Metroid fans and Mario fans are not always one and the same. Same could be said for Zelda fans.

YEAH, but THESE people are still NINTENDO fans. That is even worse, if they are not same people.

Where does this 30% come from and how can it exclude casuals?

SMS sold 6 mln. with 21.5 mln. GC, SMG will definetely reach 6 mln. with 21.5 mln. Wii. LTD might be 7 mln., because game will be BOUGHT by new users, non-mariofans. Still 85% or 6 of 7 mln. SMG are bought by mariofans.

@Coglestop,

Actually, the comparison I made is valid, given that the DS had about the same installed base as the Wii when NSMB launched, yet SMG outsold it at 8 weeks.

Actually it`s NOT.
DS has 80 mln. GBA users behind, which jumped from GBA to DS.
Wii has only 21 mln. GC users behind, which atleast 30% of it(mariofans) already jumped to Wii. http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=All&game1=New+Super+Mario+Bros+-+DS&reg2=All&game2=Super+Mario+Galaxy+-+Wii&reg3=Japan&game3=&weeks=40 Do you see the MAIN problem of these graph? DS game numbers were moving at ~40 angle, while SMG is going to 5-10 angle. The Wii  game outsold DS in same period, that TOO only shows, that SMG was bough MOSTLY by mariofans, while DS game was bought by both mariofans and non-mariofans through DS lifetime.

Yes, it's declining, but the rate of its decline is SLOWER than the rate of SMS's decline

SMG DIDN`T reach 6 mln. yet, Wii DIDN`T reach 21.5 mln. yet. But soon will.

In Japan, 12 weeks after launch, it has sold 200k more than SMS. It also sold 16k units in Japan on its 12th week on the market, compared to only 6k units of SMS on its 12th week.

Logical, NOT all mariofans bought GC on the launch of SMS.