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The_Botman said:

I'm sure there will be something, be it a small lifestyle change, some attractive casual console features or some game that will draw casuals of some sort into the next-gen market.

By the way, why does almost everyone seem to hate Pachter on this site. I watch his weekly show and he gets positive responses from the people at gametrailers, for the most part.


I can't really speak for gametrailers, but without ranting, Pachter is typically wrong about most things.  Let's take a look at what Pachter had to say about the 3DS when its price was announced.

"Pachter took the pricing theme one step farther, noting that Nintendo in some ways is betraying its shareholders. "I'm impressed that they had the confidence to charge $249; I think that they're going to regret it. It's going to sell out and they're leaving money on the table. I'm impressed that they're this consumer friendly – that really matters. So it's not shareholder friendly, but consumers are going to love the $249 price point. We can call bullsh*t on Reggie [Fils-Aime] a lot, but I actually agree with him. If you explain the feature set to most consumers, they would say $300 or more. So $249 is a bargain, and I think this thing is going to be on eBay for $500 immediately," he said.

He continued, "I think the biggest problem they'll have is that you'll never see one in stores in 2011. It'll be sold out forever. We'll get like a million or 1.25 million, and so will Europe, and those will be gone in weeks. Let's hope they can make 2 million a month and ship 800,000 a month to the U.S. so consumers have a prayer of getting one by Christmas."

So in a year or so we've gone from the 3DS going to fly off shelves at 300 dollars to no casual gamer ever buying a console again.  Yes, the market is changing, but has it changed that much in a year and a half?  No.  He was wrong before, and he's wrong now.


Will the iPhone/Droid effect Nintendo and X-Box 360?  Yes, but they are not direct competitors.  I could go into more detail later, but if the 3 big console makers can adapt to the changing market, they'll be fine.