On predictions. I cannot remember what I said 4 days ago, let alone 4 years ago. But I think a lot of us over estimated eventual third party support and undestimated how many Wii buyers got it as a secondary console or we secondary game players.
On the crash curve, I would love to see the actual drop off for other consoles. The Wii drop feels much the GameCube and Xbox, both of which were effectively killed off for new consoles. It does not feel like the PS2 because the size of the install base -- both in numbers and dominant market share -- allowed Sony to continue selling and supporting it. (As did selling it in new, untapped, emergent markets even after the introduction of its replacement.). Ironiocally, that same dominant market position which kept the pS2 alive and getting games are the introduction of its replacement, probably slowed PS3 early adoptions ( as admittedly did the $599 price tag).
Mike from Morgantown
I am Mario. I like to jump around, and would lead a fairly serene and aimless existence if it weren't for my friends always getting into trouble. I love to help out, even when it puts me at risk. I seem to make friends with people who just can't stay out of trouble. Wii Friend Code: 1624 6601 1126 1492 NNID: Mike_INTV |