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Oyvoyvoyv said:
It won't beat Sm64 in Japan? Why? It has sold 870K, with good legs, while Sm64 had 1M in the same time... Sm64 sold 23k in its 12th week. SMG sold 16k and it is Januray. I'd say that is pretty much the same.

All we need to know is that it's tracking above New Super Mario Brothers and there's no /good/ reason to suspect it will stop.  

And if it continues tracking well above a 15+ million seller, why not come to the conclusion that it very likely could sell 15+ million itself?