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@RolStoppable,

1) Obviously a difference of 4.3 % in average score makes a big difference, sales declined by more than 50 %. SMG is rated 1.3 % higher than SM64. 1.3 % is about 1/3 of 4.3 %, 1/3 of 50 % sales difference is 17 %. So realistically we can expect SMG to sell 1/6 more than SM64 in Japan which is a total of 2.3m which comes very close to the 2.38m I predicted. =)
Obviously DIFFERENCE in SNES user base behind N64 and N64 userbase behind GC makes a big difference in sales.

SMS sold 170k in rest 90 weeks. Or just 4% of total GC userbase in Japan. Even with additional 15 mln. it`s only 600k.
2) I see you are running out of arguments on this point, so let's forget about 2). =)))
There is NOTHING to argument, 4% in Score is REALLY NOTHING.
3) You seem to forget that the PS3 is in a different market than the Wii. So just because the Wii will sell as much as the PS2, doesn't mean that the PS3 will have to end up with GC numbers. =)
So, just because PS3 will sell better then GC, it doesn`t mean, that Wii will sell as good as PS2. =]



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far