makingmusic476 said:
His chart goes up to 200 weeks, and the ps3 has been on the market for well over a year. After the ps2 had been on the market for a year, the supply constraints had come to an end, so anybody that would've wanted the system would've been able to buy one. Needless to say, a year into each system's life total sales were roughly the same. The same amount of people that wanted a ps3 in the first year and bought one roughly equate to the same amount of people that wanted a ps2 in the first year, and bought one. All of this despite the fact that the ps3 cost $600 for half of its first year. Avinash_Tyagi said: Username, there is no such thing as console loyalty, most PS2 owners were casual and went to PS2 because of the casual games, games that Wii now has, and Blu-ray players are coming out cheaper than PS3 The tags in my sig and the sheep in your avatar prove that there IS such a thing as brand loyalty. Who is it that buys a console at launch, despite high prices, the probability of hardware problems, and a meager game selection? Loyalists. Why is is that the ps3 kept pace with the 360 for most of the year, and outsells it now, despite being more expensive (at times over $200 so) and despite having a much smaller game library? Brand loyalty. Why is it that the ps3 has already passed up the 360 in many European countries, despite the 360's year long head start? Brand loyalty. Brand loyalty does exist, however how big a role it will play remains to be seen. |
False the supply constrainst hadn't come to a close for the PS2 a year in, if you recall it was supply constrined in NA, past its first holiday in NA, which was at the end of its first year, basically it was around this time that supply constrints for the PS2 eased, remeber it launched much later in NA and Europe than the PS3 did, it launcched in October in NA and November in Europe, and in Japan its supply was so low it dropped to 3000 one week
Every market except Europe alone its being outperfomed by PS2 , and Europe its because PS2 didn't have its holiday bump until later
Fanboys make up a very small portion of the market, if they didn't we would still be gaming on Atari machines, also my sheep avatar is meant to be ironic, but I shouldn't expect you to realize that. If Loyalty was true it would be passing the Wii, but its not, its not even going to come close, even in Europe its supposed strong point its selling worse than Wii, and in NA where PS2 beat the Xbox last gen, its losing on a weekly basis. Brand loaylty is largely a myth, outside of fanboys, which are a very small portion of the market.
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)







