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_crazy_man_ said:

NVIDIA GeForce GTS 250 (x2)

This has lasted me for a long time.  Now with Skyrim, my computer is kinda at its limit (with the 30+ graphics mods I have installed).  And it's only going to get harder from here on out.

     
 

 

I have Core i7 3.03 quad from Jan 2011, 9GB ram, Win 7, ATI Radeon HD 6850 1GB GDDR5

I do the same thing with Skyrim, use tons of mods, and I've never had a drop in fps, I get a solid 40-50 easy, and I turn all settings to max, even 16x anisotropic filtering.  I also get a solid 50-60 fps in StarCraft 2 on the "Extreme" setting, even in 3v3 league matches.

So, I'd go with the 6850, and probably also bump up your CPU a little bit, but not too much, and you'll be fine.  Also, if you have room in your case, you could always try using one 6850 like me, and then if you need more horsepower a year or two from now, go Crossfire and add a second.  By then the 6850 will probably be around $100 or less.  It's about $135-$140 right now.

Best of luck, hope this was helpful.