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Slimebeast said:
The miniscule 1.4 million shipment of Xbox 360 in Q1 of 2012 proves VGC numbers are right. MS overstuffed the retail last year.


Nope. MS shipped the correct amount of consoles in 2011, they didn't in the same quarter of 2010.

Here is their shipment data, launch to present

05/06 - 1.5 m 1.7m 1.8m
06/07 1.0m 4.4m 0.5m 0.7m
07/08 1.8m 4.3m 1.3m 1.3m
08/09 2.2m 6.0m 1.7m 1.2m
09/10 2.1m 5.2m 1.5m 1.5m
10/11 2.8m 6.3m 2.7m 1.7m
11/12 2.3m 8.2m 1.4m data pending
Average 2.03m 5.12m 1.54m 1.36m

Guess what the average for their Q1 is (the bold)...1.54 million. Last quarter MS shipped 1.4 million, slightly under the average. When they "only" shipped 6.3 million in Q4 2010, they had shortages into the new year, hence why they shipped an extra million or so in Q1 2011.

If they had really overstuffed the channels then the shipments would have been closer to 2007 Q1 figure of 500K. The real info to glean from this is that MS will probably ship around another 8 million in Q4 this year and much more if they drop the price.