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There are around 120 000 000(120 mln.) gamers which bought PS2.
Maybe there 300 000 000 casual non-gamers on the market, which will go for wii, BUT 80 mln. casual gamers is still a LOT.


Sure, but most of those 80 million are going to go to Wii as well, some may get a PS3 or a 360, or a wii and a PS3 or a 360, but their number will be split across those two consoles, hence why neither is going to get much above 40 million



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)