Will PS3 top 100 million?

[azrm2k]

CrazzyMan said:

@azrm2k, Online, PSN games, HOME -> that will appeal to casuals, PS2 didn`t have that.
AND how MANY PS2 users will JUMP for the Wii JUST because of CONTROLS? HoW many Casuals will ABANDON their favourite PS2 SERIES(Tekken, socom, jak, ratchet and etc.) for Wii? 80-90% of PS2 userbase? DREAM ON.
Do you KNOW HOW BIG LBP SUCCESS will be? Do you REALLY KNOW?

 Lots.  I spoke to some of my own friends who love the Wii and they love how it's simpler to play than the PS3/360.  You want to swing the bat in Wii Sports? No need to figure out which button to press and how to hold the joystick up/down for a power/contact swing.  Just swing the wiimote like a real bat!  Doesn't seem like such a big reason to us but to them that's huge.  

Another one of your biggest misconceptions is above.  80-90% of the PS2 userbase didn't play those games.  Once you realize that you will realize how many of your arguments sound absurd.  You repeatedly mention how fans of certain PS2 games will move on to the PS3.  Even if 75% of Tekken or Ratchet fans go onto the PS3 it won't hit 80 million just off of that alone. The highest selling Ratchet couldn't hit 3 million.  Tekken came close to 7 on the original PS but on PS2 they couldn't even hit 4!  Even if those userbases have no overlap whatsoever you're talking about a small fraction of the PS2 userbase.  All of the Tekken and Ratchet and SOCOM fans could converge to the PS3 and that still won't guarantee 100 million.