1) Gamers, and by gamers I mean people who have bought into at least 1 other generation will see that the wii is a one trick poney that will not offer the kind of escapism that the average gamer has come to expect. I no its fun, I own one but its not fun by myself and does'nt offer any real depth to a single player. Thus doing well for the 'friends over thing' but not wining the console war. 2) Japanese are fickle about their consumer products and by that I mean they like to buy Japanese. Xbox 360 in Japan=Failure. Wii first PS3 second. 3) PS3 will do reasonably well in all markets. It will win Europe, come second in Japan and come a close third in the states. This will be a long race and to win you need long legs...Wii does'nt have any...XBOX 360 needs a new pair every mile and PS3 at time of writing is too Overweight(£££).