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Kasz216 said:

Ah duh. Probably should explain that.

They're claiming a profit essentially because federal reserve excess funds are greater then the projected.

So there claims of profit aren't actually based off of TARP but over what is "projected" economic bonuses that allowed the Federal Reserve to make more money off of it's usual stuff.

Since the Federal Reserve tends to make an excess profit and pass that along to the government. (Despite conspiracy theorists claims that the Fed is owned by banks.)

The biggest issue with it is well... Economic models quite honestly suck 90% of the time.  Your lucky if they're remotley accurate... as can be seen by the fact that the same economic model completely overestimated the effect of the stimulus.

So basically they are basing this on a few billion extra the Fed might make, as opposed to the government making back the 1T+ spent on bailouts?