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People are saying that the PS3 has a chance at 100 million because if you compare the PS3 and PS2 on the hardware from launch chart, they follow the same path.

http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=N64&reg1=All&cons2=SAT&reg2=All&cons3=PS&reg3=All&weeks=100

The saturn and PS1 both followed the same path for more then a year, with the saturn ahead, but look how that ended.

http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=N64&reg1=All&cons2=SAT&reg2=All&cons3=PS&reg3=All&weeks=400



 

 

 

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