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I think that during this year Nintendo will increase supply to meet demand pre-holidays, but that once we get near Christmas it will get harder and harder to find one until they are completely sold out during the week before Christmas. It probably won't be nearly as bad as this past year or 2006.

I think that Nintendo will increase production moderately during March and then more significantly during the summer. Here are my rough estimates for Wiis produced this year with low and high ranges added.