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Mr Khan said:
Kasz216 said:
Mr Khan said:
 

A tweak to the constitution could fix it. If Afghanistan became a parliamentary system, they would need a coalition government to survive, because even if they went strictly down to tribal associations, democratically no one tribe constitutes a majority or a near-majority. Pashto is the largest, but not by much

But at the end of the day America's commitment in Afghanistan can't be limitless, and so long as guarantees are in place that Afghanistan won't become a giant Islamic terrorist training ground and hideout again, i think we would accept the Taliban otherwise, even if we didn't like the fact that they're in control. Similar to how the West "tolerated' Qaddafi after Libya ditched its WMD program (until it became clear that it would be easy to get rid of him altogether in 2011).

Would they agree to terms that though?   I mean, basically their view is, that once the US leaves, they take back power quickly.  Even if they made a deal I'd think they'd betray it shortly after a US pullout.

It really feels to me like the only options in afghanistan are catastrophic failure, and a catastrophic failure that was negotiated and allows for the saving of face of the US.

The Taliban have a healthy fear of the US, i would say. They know they can't go back to their old ways entirely, or we'll just keep predator-drone-attacking them at our leisure after we leave. If they were negotiated into a settlement that was not overtly hostile to their interests, i believe some sort of peaceful solution can be achieved, so long as the other factions in Afghanistan are sufficiently strong that the Taliban would either face endless civil war or some sort of peaceful power-sharing agreement, they'll go for the latter if they have a secure role in said agreement.

we've been trying to empower them since the beggining with little results howeer.  Predator Drones are a good point however... though I question whether it's enough.