The outcome will be slightly different. NATO will begin to abandon the Afghan Army. The Afghan Government will continue cutting rights and freedoms by the time NATO fully leaves the Afghan Government will be the Taliban. A civil war will continue for years and the Government will be toppled if their is a democratically elected leader in place he will be stoned and dragged through the streets. The Taliban will then have control over the entire country and the United States will seek political relations with the new Taliban regime. Over the next ten years small pro democracy militia will fight the Taliban until the Taliban finally exterminates all resistance.
Likely another power will have to intervene for one reason.or another. The process will repeated itself. The Soviets would have won Afghanistan if America hadn't intervened. Today NATO would win if we stayed for twenty years and were willing to take the Taliban out in Pakistan.
The whole region needs to support a super power in liberating Afghanistan. However their will never be a Government entirely control of Afghanistan. Afghan will remain in a state of war at least some form of insurgency for the near future likely 50+ years!
-JC7
"In God We Trust - In Games We Play " - Joel Reimer
