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The Xbox360 was first to come out but not the most successful. The PS2 was first to come out and the most successful. The Dreamcast was first and you know the story. But I think it will come down to the attractiveness and pricing. Like most would look past the Wii U if it don't get the third party games this time around is what I mean by attractiveness. But it might be attractive from pricing being it will not have a Hard Drive (HD) and will most likely be cheaper, if the other consoles don't follow Nintendo footsteps. But I think the other consoles will have (HD), and can make Nintendo's console attractive that way.