I know at least one person who's buying a PS3 just for MGS4, and he sure as heck isn't the only one. Definitely a system seller. Same with FF13 actually.
I don't think Killzone 2, Resistance 2, and Haze are going to do much for sales. They're highly hyped amongst PS3 owners, and will probably sell a lot (as in software), but that's about it. Neither of the HD consoles has any lack of gray/brown futuristic shooters, and I doubt a few more are going to make anyone buy a console.
Tekken 6 is probably not going to sell too well. The series has been in a long, long decline, and I haven't heard of anything that would make it seem like it's about to get back up.
Little Big Planet is highly unpredictable. It seems to me like one of those extremely highly rated, but commercially unappreciated cult classics that never quite make it to the mainstream, but you can never know. I hope it does well and more stuff like it gets released.
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