| bigjon said: JL, when do you expect the wii deluge to begin? |
Nintendo will show a vastly upped production projection starting with the first of their 2009 fiscal year April 1, 2008. We will see in their Q4/FY08 report later that month.
Wiis will slowly become more and more plentiful starting in the spring and throughout the summer.
By fall the combined effect of the 2006/2007 games like Wii Sports, Wii Play, Super Mario Galaxy and such with the monster Super Smash Bros. Brawl, Mario Kart Wii, Star Wars Force Unleashed (if good), Monster Hunter 3, and most especially Wii Fit will have Wiis just rolling out of stores.
I don't know if you've noticed. I don't know where you live, bigjon, but in the U.S. I've been keeping track of shelf space allotments in the stores. The dominant system gets the most shelfspace to sell games which encourages greater sales. Gamecube being the weakling last gen only had 1 block in my local Wal-Mart, PS2 had 2 or 3 maybe 4.
With all the new systems on the market it's crowded now. PS3 has 1 block. PS2 has been crunched down to 2 blocks. PSP has 1 block. XBox 360 has 2 blocks. Originally Wii had Gamecube's 1 block while DS split with GBA with their 2 blocks.
NOW Wii has 2 blocks and is merging into 3 as DS expands its 2 while GBA disappears slowly. DS & Wii are being crossed over into each other's blocks awkwardly because there are so many systems on the market. They will eventually work this out where DS & Wii get 3 a piece somehow. They'll take the smallest weakest selling system and crowd it in with another system for space saving's sake.
When Nintendo starts the deluge which I believe begins in the spring starting with just building stream, stores will rearrange their setups to accomodate. Money's in the bank. The fact that PS2 is still strong makes it complicated to work with while also having a strong selling 360. PSP will probably be crunched in with PS3 or PS2 since PSP doesn't sell enough games. Actually I think I have already seen that in my store.
It starts slowly but gradually in the spring but builds more and more throughout the year until holidays REALLY kick it into gear.
60 million will come as a result of actually seeing more available stock in stores. It still will instantly sell out but will be replenished more frequently than before. Most people get discouraged after not being able to find the system for a while and stop looking. When they see it with less effort in search sales will explode.
John Lucas
Words from the Official VGChartz Idiot
WE ARE THE NATION...OF DOMINATION!
