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For Japan, Captivate next month is to me the last hope. You can't do well there without capcom support, Well you can, but you must be Nintendo. Also needs Level 5 and Square-enix support. TGS is too late to announce things, as they'll be all for 2013, and 2D Mario and Monster Hunter 4 will make this 7:1 beating into a 20:1 massacre easily.

But while SCEA and SCEE are doing good jobs (since to me Sony is not a japanese developer anymore), SCEJ is a disaster, so it's hard to have hope.