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Jay520 said:
Seece said:

Yeah that's good, I'd more say

Jan 13 - 74 (14)
Jan 14 - 85 - (11)
Jan 15 - 92 - (7)
Jan 16 - 96 - (4)
Jan 17+ 100~

Providing Nextbox and PS4 launch late 2013, they both have 2 10m+ years left in them.


You think sales will be that strong after the launch of next gen? It would be amazing for a console to sell over 10m in the year after launch imo, espescially with sales already decling YOY. I'm thinking more like this:

Jan 2013: 74 (14) - Should be a decent year.  
Jan 2014: 83 (9) - I don't see it doing 10m+ with saturation and all next gen consoles being available for the entire year of 2013.
Jan 2015: 88 (5) - This should definitely see a big drop with next gen consoles likely seeing price cuts.
Jan 2016: 91 (3) - Begins dying here.

I guess I may be a little too optimistic about the launch of next generation consoles. We'll see.

Except, the nextbox and PS4 will not be available for the entire year of 2013, they'll probably release in november 2013. Like Seece says, 2012 and 2013 will be easily +10million years.