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Seece said:

Yeah that's good, I'd more say

Jan 13 - 74 (14)
Jan 14 - 85 - (11)
Jan 15 - 92 - (7)
Jan 16 - 96 - (4)
Jan 17+ 100~

Providing Nextbox and PS4 launch late 2013, they both have 2 10m+ years left in them.


You think sales will be that strong after the launch of next gen? It would be amazing for a console to sell over 10m in the year after launch imo, espescially with sales already decling YOY. I'm thinking more like this:

Jan 2013: 74 (14) - Should be a decent year.  
Jan 2014: 83 (9) - I don't see it doing 10m+ with saturation and all next gen consoles being available for the entire year of 2013.
Jan 2015: 88 (5) - This should definitely see a big drop with next gen consoles likely seeing price cuts.
Jan 2016: 91 (3) - Begins dying here.

I guess I may be a little too optimistic about the launch of next generation consoles. We'll see.