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Haven't they announced that over 100 titles were in development back at TGS? I don't think all of those are Sony developed titles... What's wrong with first party titles selling more during launch? The people who buy systems at launch are usually the most devoted fans and are therefore usually more interested in first party titles. Third party software will likely drive sales further as the system's life moves on. So it is too premature to make these kinds of judgements now.