PS Vita to be the number one selling console/handheld in the new gen

[Zlejedi]

RolStoppable said:

Zlejedi said:

3rd parties will have the same reason to not support 3DS as they did with Wii - Nintendo itself.

Nintendo will take a huge part of market itself as they always do which means rest of companies will have to compete in crowded space against 3rd party behemoths like Resident or Monster Hunter.

Add to that barely existing digital market and easy porting from consoles to PSV and chances are western devs and smaller japanise companies will choose Vita instead of 3DS.

People think that Japan is the key to handheld success. It was in past gens because west didn't care about handhelds as they were inferior to consoles. Vita now opens possibilities of handheld which can fully accept solutions from home console market.

Also in DS vs PSP - DS had a huge advantage of battery life few times longer than PSP which people many time quoted as a reason to choose DS. That advantage is gone.

The Wii didn't get better third party support, because third parties had the option to do so. While HD games haven't been overly profitable over the course of the seventh generation, third parties could push into this direction, because the games at least sold and Microsoft was giving a lot of money away. In the handheld space, the PSP software market was atrocious, so ignoring the DS wasn't a viable option. Likewise, the PSV has no other system to help it out like the 360 did for the PS3.

Third parties will support the 3DS, because Vita software won't sell. Ports of modern home console games (which will be the majority of Vita games) have been rejected by the Western markets for seven years and that is not going to change. Lose Japan and you lose the world. Western third parties won't mind if the Vita crashes and burns. They won't care about the 3DS either, because they want smartphones to take over.

Battery life was at best a tertiary reason, because games and price always come first. Games were the real advantage the DS had over the PSP. The 3DS is set to repeat that, only to a greater degree this time around, because unlike the DS it can properly run games with 3D gameplay.

There's a small problem with your reasoning

PSV software is selling. And that's with only data from retail and unknown amounts sold through PSN.