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well see that is possible that vita only sells 20 million , depends on what it does not month one but in the long run , it can have a solid first month on the market then do exactly what it did in japan - slip and fall the next and continue down that path. and beleive me without getting games out the door will do that to ya
and right now i would not wanna be in sony's shoes i don't see any 3rd party jumping to the boat instead their jumping to the ship

if you look at upcoming release list at the 3ds in the same time frame it had upcoming big franchises -nascar need for speed wwe all stars resident evil , etc
what does vita have down the road?

call of duty
mortal kombat 8 !