HappySqurriel on 24 February 2012
IMO this really depends on how well day 1/week 1 sales go ...
I suspect that they will need week 1 sales around 400,000 units to hit this milestone because sales are going to fall rapidly; as they do with most launches. At around 350,000 there will (probably) be a viable shipped vs. sold argument, but at under 300,000 they would fall embarassingly short.
I don't know how this will turn out, but my expectations are pretty low after what I heard/saw at Walmart on launch day.
