The Official US Politics Thread 'Ron Paul quietly amassing an army of delegates while GOP frontrunners spar' and 'Mitt Romney rebounds against the Santorum surge'

[Rath]

Viper1 said:

Rath said:

FreeTalkLive said:
Personally, I think Ron Paul would beat Obama if Ron Paul were the Republican nominee. Sadly, outside of the states where the GOP has a libertarian streak (NH, ME, NV, SD...) Ron Paul likely won't/cannot do well and because of that, he won't win the GOP nomination.

Here is a new poll out of Iowa by the Des Moines Register. It shows Ron Paul doing best against Obama in IA, a swing state.
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20120219/NEWS09/302190047/Iowa-Poll-Obama-trails-trio-from-GOP
Iowa: Paul vs. Obama Des Moines Register Obama 42, Paul 49 Paul +7
Iowa: Santorum vs. Obama Des Moines Register Santorum 48, Obama 44 Santorum +4
Iowa: Romney vs. Obama Des Moines Register Obama 44, Romney 46 Romney +2
Iowa: Gingrich vs. Obama Des Moines Register Obama 51, Gingrich 37 Obama +14

Remember, Iowa went 54% for Obama (D) and 44% for McCain (R) in 2008.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_Iowa,_2008

 

There is no way Paul can sway people whose opinions are liberal or moderate fiscally. He's extremely fiscally conservative.

He already has to some degree.  Look at how many democrats co-signed his audit the fed bills.   His monetary policy has made a lot of people that are normally fiscal moderates to look deeper into the monetary aspects, not just general finances.    

Hell, look at his college age following.  That demographic has historically been very fiscally moderate yet they are the biggest demographic for end the fed support.

College age generally has large numbers of people towards the ends of the social and fiscal policy spectrums. Young people have strong opinions that moderate with age.