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FreeTalkLive said:
Personally, I think Ron Paul would beat Obama if Ron Paul were the Republican nominee. Sadly, outside of the states where the GOP has a libertarian streak (NH, ME, NV, SD...) Ron Paul likely won't/cannot do well and because of that, he won't win the GOP nomination.

Here is a new poll out of Iowa by the Des Moines Register. It shows Ron Paul doing best against Obama in IA, a swing state.
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20120219/NEWS09/302190047/Iowa-Poll-Obama-trails-trio-from-GOP
Iowa: Paul vs. Obama Des Moines Register Obama 42, Paul 49 Paul +7
Iowa: Santorum vs. Obama Des Moines Register Santorum 48, Obama 44 Santorum +4
Iowa: Romney vs. Obama Des Moines Register Obama 44, Romney 46 Romney +2
Iowa: Gingrich vs. Obama Des Moines Register Obama 51, Gingrich 37 Obama +14

Remember, Iowa went 54% for Obama (D) and 44% for McCain (R) in 2008.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_Iowa,_2008

 

There is no way Paul can sway people whose opinions are liberal or moderate fiscally. He's extremely fiscally conservative.