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HappySqurriel said:
In my opinion Sony is caught between a rock and a hard place and, unless they can take a radically different approach in the next generation, the PS4 will likely be the worst selling Playstation home console to date. I don’t think developers are looking to take on the high development costs, consumers are willing to pay a premium for these games or the system, or Sony can afford to take on the hardware losses of a high performance gaming console; at the same time, I don’t think Sony can pull a rabbit out of their hat and offer a new user interface that is innovative enough to stand apart from the competition using a low performance console.

In my opinion Sony is caught between a rock and a hard place and, unless they can take a radically different approach in the next generation, the PS4 will likely be the worst selling Playstation home console to date

this will not happen

and it really doesn't matter which PS Home console will be the worst selling. As long as the PS Home console hits 100 Million, They are good

EVERY PlayStation Home console that Sony released has sold over 100 million besides PlayStation 3. PS3 will of course eventually pass 100 million

Nintendo has NEVER had a Home console that passed the 100 million mark but of course the Wii will be it's 1st

Microsoft has NEVER had a home console pass 100 million but if the Kinect can keep boosting 360's sales in the holidays it could be Microsofts 1st to pass 100 million

so far Sony has 2 100 million + selling Home consoles under their belt

Nintendo has 0 100 million+ selling Home consoles under their belt

Microsoft has 0 100 million+ selling Home consoles under their belt

and there is no way in hell PS4 is going to sell less than PS3 ;)


I don’t think developers are looking to take on the high development costs

you're saying this as if every developer will have to spend the highest of all high price to make games for the PS4

now do you think Gust spent the same amount of money making Atelier Totori that Santa Monica spent making God Of War 3? OF COURSE NOT!

every developer isn't going to shoot for the stars man

 

and this is why we have developers like Square making engines that ARE next gen BUT cut costs by 30% at the same time --> http://www.edge-online.com/news/square-enix-shows-photo-realistic-next-generation-engine

 

consumers are willing to pay a premium for these games or the system

yes, and this is why Sony would be smart to release the PlayStation 4 at $400.

and i had a specific little section in the OP about the next gen retail game prices but i took it out to make it shorter

i wonder if i should re-add that too

hmm..

or Sony can afford to take on the hardware losses of a high performance gaming console; at the same time, I don’t think Sony can pull a rabbit out of their hat and offer a new user interface that is innovative enough to stand apart from the competition using a low performance console

This is why I'm saying that a $100 loss should be the MAX they should lose because it's pretty clear that they are going to launch the PlayStation 4 at a loss

now the PS3 was launched at $600 and lost arguably $200-250 each sale. now being that the price was already TOO-DAMN-HIGH, they were under EXTREME pressure by consumers and what not to keep dropping the price.

so every time the costs to make PS3 got lower they always had to drop the price basically putting themselves right back in that hole they created

Now the PlayStation 4 launching at $400 while losing something like $100 MAX would be perfect. The price would already be low from jump and they wont have to drop the price at specific times like they did on PS3. PS4 will hit the profit line a hell of a lot faster than when PS3 was supposed to originally hit the profit line