Kasz216 said:
There is something like 500 billion barrels of Oil in the Brakken Shale formation. Is all of it recoverable? No, but the US used about 6.25 billion barrels of oil a day. This is just one area in the US. Although I don't buy the actual math or estimates... this gives some pretty good fundamentals about all the untapped oil just in the US.
Also, it isn't supply that's raising prices... it's demand. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203833104577072301052759854.html |
...
How exactly do you replace oil from say Gahwar or any other conventional super massive - large conventional oil field which are still producing to this day with oil from fractured shale which depletes at a rate of 90% in the first year and 8% thereafter? How do you replace oil which is produced for a few dollars per barrel with oil which is only economical at prices above $60 per barrel? Facing reality here the majority of the oil in that formation will likely never be recoverable even at prices above $150 U.S.D. a barrel.
http://s1095.photobucket.com/albums/i475/westexas/?action=view¤t=Slide1-18.jpg
You say demand is the cause and yet why has supply not increased when oil reached historical highs adjusted for inflation? Why isn't it flowing any faster out of the ground with prices in real terms doubling and trebbling in the space of 10 years?
http://inflationdata.com/inflation/inflation_rate/historical_oil_prices_chart.asp
If you cannot bring yourself to say 'supply problem' then I may as well think of you as a ... and leave it at that.
Tease.







