I think it is obvious that the Vita is going to struggle for a while. The average American has no clue what it is, plus, mobile gaming is no longer a gaming device centric thing. I'm thinking a 15% decrease in lifetime sales of the PSP. I imagine the 3DS will also see this sales decrease as compared to the DS, there are just more options for gaming on the go.
The thing that perplexes me is that Sony seems to be making all of the boneheaded moves that Nintendo did in the early days of the 3DS. Well, they will make a price cut, the thing will start selling better, and the crisis will be adverted. Still, I don't see this thing outselling 3DS, it doesn't have the software library to do so, it might do what PSP did, and get some hardcore gamers, but the kids are gonna want to play Pokemon (ok so do I) and thats just a fact. Still, I don't think its going to crash and burn.
