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Netyaroze on 16 February 2012
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JEMC said:
Netyaroze said:
JEMC said:
Netyaroze said:
JEMC said:

I'm so tired of these madness about 2012. Forget the Mayas! They were talking about the end of an era and the beginning of another, not the end of the world.

 

An then there is this:

nothing is hurtling toward us.

That's the biggest stupidity I've heard from someone at NASA.

How many times have we heard of asteroids that were not detected until they have passed "too close" to Earth? And that's without counting the recent examples of old satellites falling, as those can't destroy the world but can cause huge damage if they hit in big cities or dangerous places (refineries, nuclear plants, etc)


You are not familiar with the Nibiru prediction ? Nasa is not refering to a rock or satellite they are refering to a Trillions times more massive object a planet.

 

Also all Asteroids above a certain size can be ruled out. If something hits it wont be a world ending event. And the chances this happens are tiny. Nasa ruled out a planet not middle sized rocks.

By "middle sized rocks", what size do you mean?


As big as a small hill.

 

I am reading an interesting article right now. Its called " 5 irrational Fears even rational people have".

 

Place 5 was Swine Flu. Place 4 is Killer Asteroids. I didnt come any further yet.

 

Here a quote:

 

"To be ranked as a planet killer, an asteroid has to be pegged as a 10 on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale. Currently, scientists can only find one asteroid near Earth that ranks even a one on that scale, never mind a 10. Everything else is a zero."

 

The Article so far hasnt told me anything new. But its written in an entertaining manner. Here the link maybe you should read it:

 

http://www.cracked.com/article/158_5-irrational-fears-even-rational-people-have/?wa_user1=3&wa_user2=Weird+World&wa_user3=article&wa_user4=recommended

 

I am not saying ther cant be a rock doing damage but the effects wont be threatening to humanity. The telescopes/abilities of the Nasa/ESA are getting better and better they increase even faster then Cpu Power. We can rule out total destruction in 2012 and a small Asteroid really hitting earth in 2012 is unlikely.

First, The Torino Impact Hazard Scale. This scale don't measure the chance of being by a certain asteroid or the likelihood of being hit by one, it only ranks the already known asteroids in categories.

Second, If you don't know something, you can't know if it's dangerous or not, so talking about the known asteroids near Earth is not that reassuring. And, while those asteroids may not be a menace now, their orbit will change sooner or later so they could become a menace someday, specially those 500-1,000 asteroids with a diameter of over 1 kilometer (source: wikipedia, not 100% reliable, I know).

Lastly, let me say that I don't think an asteroid will hit us soon either, but I don't like to see statements like "nothing is hurtling toward us" from certain people or agencies. It would be more sensible to say something like "as far as we know, nothing is hurtling toward us (by now)".

Oh, and the asteroid that kill the dinosaurs had a diameter of about 15 Km (remember that asteroids are not spherical as planets) so a hill could kill us all.


Here my late response:

 

15km is not a hill its a mountain the size of almost two mounteverest. its so high that an Airbus couldnt fly over it. On the top you wouldnt be able to breath and it would be a lot like standing on the surface of Mars.

 

A small hill is 20-200meter. it could never kill us. The Torino Hazard Scale doesnt tell us the likelyhood of an Asteroid hitting earth but it tells us how rare an Asteroid is which could wipeout Humanity. And they are really rare. Also Space is HUGE ,unimaginably vast. Two Objects colliding is rare and the earth colliding  with a huge asteroid even rarer. Sure Tunguska Impacts are definetly able to kill Millions of people but not all Humans. And Comets/Asteroids huge enough to destroy Humanity are few and those hitting us the chance is miniscule. And with miniscule i mean really tiny, unimaginably tiny. Sure on Scales like 100 Million years this will happen but the chance we withness it in the brief moment of time we are on earth is unlikely to say the least.

 

Maybe an Asteroid will hit us maybe Apophis will hit us the damage would be big but not big enough to jeopardize human life in general.

In 1 Million years a Star that drifts towards the Sun right now will pass it 1 lightyear or less away. This wil result in the Oort Cloud being stirred up. And will send an Army of Comets towards Sun. They will arrive a couple of Millions years later in the inner solar system. It is likely that a huge Comet will hit earth then. And we will have another cataclysmic event. 70 Million years after the Dinosaurs were wiped out. But as of right now chances are small based on mathematical models and our knowledge about the Solar System. Even if we factor tenthousend times more Asteroids/Comets we cant see in (which we do) as unknowns the Chances of getting hit by a huge rock are still small. Sure everything can happen: But if we say 10000000 of JEMCS think they will see the world being destroyed during their lifetime by an Comet/Asteroid on 10000000 Copies of Earth then you are right JUST ONCE. In the end I will be right far more often then you will, if you woul believe that.

Nothing is 100% certain but if Nasa says there is no gigantic Planet hurtling towards earth I believe them because thats what they were saying. And we can also rule out 15km Asteroids/Comets arriving in 2012 they would be obvious by now. Sure they cant be ruled out but its so unlikely that they hit (by human standards) we can rule them out. If you are 99.999999% certain you wouldnt say maybe but sure. Its like saying you are sure you wont die in the next milisecond.

Nasa uses the word sure to stop panik if they would write 99.9999999% certain people would hang on to the 0.00000001%  and freak out.