This is a major reason I think Nintendo is making the smartest decision by launching this year. Sales will continue to drop expect them to take a huge hit this winter. If Sony and MS wait till winter 2013 they will lose a huge margin of market share. The rumors flowing right now make me believe nextbox is more and more likely coming this winter. Latest rumor is that it is only 20% more powerful then WiiU if that is remotely true Microsoft would be committing suicide to launch late 2013.
I think E3 will mark the beginning of the end. Not the end necessarily but the generation will not remain a selling force after fall 2013. It will take a major blow later this year. I'd say MS and Sony will both need to cut hardware prices this fall. Microsoft and Sony will have to drop prices to break even levels. I suspect 199$ PS3 this winter and 159.99$ 360.
-JC7
"In God We Trust - In Games We Play " - Joel Reimer
