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Unless I'm missing something the PS3 was the market leader for quite a while until the 3DS caught alight. The Vita sells quite similarly to the PSP and PS3 which were Japans market leaders prior to the 3DS so I fail to see the problem. People constantly saying the Vita is down and out prior to its Western release is getting more repetitive than the yearly CoD releases.

Some also fail to take into account that the 3DS has already outsold the DS' first year numbers. It wouldn't surprise me with future 3DS revisions outselling the DS lifetime sales. The 3DS really shouldn't be used as a sales barometer for Japan.

Now if it flops in the West that will be a different story.