Splurge you gotta read my plan for WiiU launch year. I in no way am suggesting Nintendo do as they have the last three generations (DS,3DS,Wii). Nintendo should not give third parties any break. However they can release high quality high selling software while giving third parties a fighting chance.
Industry CEOs have said for years new consoles are the best to release new IP on. DO and Star fox would be alongside Pikmin3 all the established franchises needed to sustain WiiU for months. Miyamoto's new IP and the new IP from Retro (rumoured) plus any other new IP would be perfect for the beginning of 2013.
This would accomplish every goal Nintendo has. Enabling third parties to compete and release software, new IP would be less likely to slaughter third party titles. The new Nintendo IP would also drive third parties to put more effort i. Then theirs the drought Nintendo has been criticized for always having a drought in which Nintendo gives third parties free rain, no need new IP would prevent a drought while encouraging third parties. Lastly Nintendo has said for ages that they need more IP that their existing catalog is amazing but they need more.
It would be a win win for everyone involved. Mario would then be released eight months into the consoles life and give it a much needed boost prior to Ps4 and next box's release.
Plus I fear you have become Rol. A 2D Mario is the title you launch mid cycle to revive a console and make sure it succeeds. You should not release it early in the consoles life cycle. Second or third year at earliest. I think the 2D Mario title might come in 2013 on 3DS hopefully but a release this winter would be an act of desperation to ensure 3DS sales don't slow down.
I would say a 3D/2D mixture like SuperMario3DLand would be perfect. In fact Nintendo could make the 2D 3DS Mario comparable with the 3D WiiU game. Allowing them to be played in tandem or to unlock content.
People will say this is why 3DS failed no Mario. That is not the case at all the reason 3DS failed was the lack of quality software in general. Nintendo's strongest IP launch day was Nintendogs an unproven IP nobody could have know if it would succeed or fail. Pilot Wings was far too old to be a flag ship title and Steel Diver was not a strong new IP rather a mediocre title many compared to an I-pad or Flash game.
Star Fox and Donkey Kong are both proven franchises with massive followings. Combined they should he able to shift between 1.5 million and 2 million hardware units. Combine Pikmin3 and a Sonic exclusive at 2 million hardware units sold during the first month or two on market is good. Likely more would sell as well due to the holidays and other software.
The one thing I do agree with. Is investors will need to see Mario at E3 they will be pushing for an immediate release. However investors often do not understand the industry. They see Mario as gold and don't care about the ramifications.
Mario should be steadily released one 3D game and one 2D game each generation. Mario Part once a generation. Mario Party two to three times a generation. Paper Mario at least once a generation. Mario and Sonic games on a regular basis. Smash Bros tie ins. The new education game I mentioned in the other thread....
Mario needs to remain diversified. You can't release a mainstream Mario title every year. Add in the Mario sports titles and Nintendo has it made in the shade.
I would say a fall release of 2D Mario on 3DS or release early 2013 and an announcement of Mario 3D for WiiU eight months after launch. Alongside SF/DK/Pikmin3 and Retros and Miyamoto's new IP plus the other new titles for WiiU like the educational game I mentioned. Also Pokemon Grey and a new Pokemon game from Genius Sonority returning to the plot based games they had on CDN.
Investors would be more then satisfied. Nintendo could project profits of 100-200 million for fiscal 2012.
-JC7
"In God We Trust - In Games We Play " - Joel Reimer
