Reasonable on 30 January 2012
Can't agree. MS is in a great position in US/UK and a few other territories with a strong chance of using Live to carry over their install base to their next console. Launching a lot behind the next MS console would most likely simply 'Gift' those regions to MS and see Sony's marketshare shrink.
They can launch behind the next MS console I think, but not by much - say 3 to 4 months max I'd say.
Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...
