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I'd just like to point out that $399 in 2005 is around $460, now. Stated differently, the top line model is (in cash terms) has stayed the same price since launch. Obviously, the top-line model now comes with a hell of a lot more additional hardware, but it's something interesting to think about.

Put another way, if inflation was under control, the Kinect Star Wars 360s with 250gb would cost $400 today. The 360s 4gb would cost $175 (about $25 savings).

Just did a quick check... the original Xbox launched at around $380 2011 dollars.

Microsoft consoles seem to stay at the $380-$400 2011 dollars mark, or at least the top-of-the-line model.

Take from this post what you will.

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My prediction is that the new Xbox will launch between $400-$450. The price of the 360 will be dependant on whether the new Xbox has a low end SKU. The 360 will be flattened into a one SKU lineup, no matter what.

Option 1:

360 - $199
neXbox low - $350-$400
neXbox high - $400-$450

Option 2:

360 - $250
neXbox - $400

Yeah, I know this post is all disjointed.